タグ「リスク」
Title: Medical radiological consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe in Russia: estimation of radiation risks.
Author: V. Ivanov, A. Tsyb, S. Ivanov, V. Pokrovsky
Reference: – St. Petersburg: Nauka, 2004. – 388 p.
Keywords:
Abstract: The monograph is devoted to estimation of medical radiological effects of the Chernobyl disaster for emergency workers and the population of Russia.
Based on analysis of the radiation and environmental situation in the contaminated territories and estimates of radiation doses, incidence of cancer diseases among emergency workers and the population due to the postchernobyl exposure has been predicted. For the cohort of emergency workers estimation of radiation risks of non-cancer diseases is also discussed.
Consideration is given to estimates of risks of solid cancers, first-time thyroid cancer and leukemias derived in the radiation epidemiological studies of actual data available in the Russian National Medical and Dosimetric Registry.
The work is intended for environmental scientists, radiation epidemiologists, radiobiologists, specialists in medical radiology and radiation protection.
URL: http://www.nrer.ru/monograf.html
Title: The latent period of induction radiogennyh of solid cancers in a cohort of liquidators
Author: Gorskiy A.I., Kascheev V.V., Tumanov K.A.
Reference: Radiation and Environmental Biophysics, Volume 48, Number 3 / August 2009, pp 247-252
Keywords: emergency workers ,latent period ,solid tumors ,Radiation risk
Abstract: The paper presents results of estimating the latent period of induction of radiogenic solid cancers among Chernobyl emergency workers (males) living in six central regions of Russia. The analysis is based on using medical and dosimetry data gathered by the National Radiation Epidemiological Registry (NRER) over the time period from 1986 to 2005. The cohort size is 59706 persons. These are emergency workers who stayed in the exposure zone in 1986-1987. There were 2562 cases of solid tumors detected during the follow-up time in this cohort. The mean radiation dose is 0.13 Gy. The radiation risk and latent period were estimated using the method of maximum likelihood. The excess relative risk per unit dose was found to be 0.92 (0.28; 1.65 95 % CI) and the minimum latent period of induction of solid tumors is 4.7 years (1.2; 9.4 95 % CI).
URL: http://www.nrer.ru/pub_results.html
Title: The lessons of Chernobyl and Fukushima
Author: Ivanov V.K., Kascheev V.V., Chekin S.YU., Korelo A.M., Menyaylo A.N., Maksyutov M.A., Gorskiy A.I., Tumanov K.A., Pryahin E.A
Reference: J. Radiol. Prot. 2012. V. 32. P. N55-N58
doi:
Keywords: Chernobyl accident , estimation of radiation risks , the 2007 ICRP recommendations prognostic estimates of radiological consequences of the disaster at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP
Abstract: The following three main questions are considered in the article. First, results of large-scale studies of the National Radiation Epidemiological Registry for 25 years of follow-up after the accident at the Chernobyl NPP and summarized data on radiation risks for emergency accident workers and the population of the most contaminated with radionuclides territories of Russia. Second, verification of ICRP prognostic models (Publication 103) for estimating radiation risk with an allowance for data on the Chernobyl accident. And third, we give prognostic estimates of potential radiological consequences of the disaster at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP with the use of the ICRP prognostic models.
URL: http://www.nrer.ru/pub_results.html
Title: DISTANT RADIOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT FOR THE POPULATION OF THE KALUGA REGION
Author: Drynova N.N., Vlasov O.K., Schukin N.V., Ivanov V.K.
Reference: Radiation and Lisk 2009 vol.18 No.4
Keywords: attributable risk, solid cancers, inhabitants of the Kaluga oblast
Abstract: Prognosis of induction of radiation related solid cancers in population of the Kaluga oblast was made with the use of UNSCEAR model. It was found that the increase in the rate of all solid cancers could be up to 1 %. Calculated and actual data of the National Radiation and Epidemiological Registry were in good agreement. The contribution of radiation to increase of the rate of breast cancer in young women can be up to 4 %.
URL: http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/otdalennye-radiologicheskie-posledstviya-avarii-na-chernobylskoy-aes-dlya-naseleniya-kaluzhskoy-oblasti-solidnye-raki
Title: Distant radiological consequences of the Chernobyl nuclear accident for the population of the Bryansk region: solid cancers
Author: Ivanov V.K., Drynova N.N., Vlasov O.K., Schukina N.V., Efendiev V.A.
Reference: Radiation and Lisk 2008、vol.17,No.4
Keywords: attributive risk, solid cancers, the population of the Bryansk region
Abstract: Prognosis of induction of radiation related solid cancers in population of the Bryansk oblast was made with the use of UNSCEAR model. It was found that the increase in the rate of all solid cancers could be up to 3 %. Calculated and actual data of the National Radiation and Epidemiological Registry were in good agreement. The contribution of radiation to increase of the rate of breast cancer in young women can be up to 10 %.
URL: http://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/otdalennye-radiologicheskie-posledstviya-avarii-na-chernobylskoy-aes-dlya-naseleniya-bryanskoy-oblasti-solidnye-raki
Author: N. Pavlovskaya
Reference: РМЖ Независимое издание для практикующих врачей (BC independent publication for practitioners)
Keywords: cause of thyroid cancer, various research
Abstract: Coordinator of International Projects WHO on diseases of the thyroid gland, Dr. K. Baverstock, believes that among 1 million children who have fallen under irradiation in Belarus, a few percent are at risk to acquire thyroid cancer. Expert from the Cambridge University, Dr. D. Williams considers this percentage to be 10%. However, even if we assume that the radiation is the main cause of the epidemic of thyroid cancer, it is unclear exactly which radioisotopes play a major role and what other factors may be present to influence the disease. At the beginning, cesium 137 was in focus, however, nowadays radioiodine has replaced its position.
…An epidemiological study to determine the role of genetic factors in the overall picture of increasing the incidence of cancer will be among the other 25 studies of thyroid cancer in children, conducted in three different countries.
URL: www.rmj.ru –
Author: V.K. Ivanov, A.F. Tsyb
Reference: – М.: Медицина (Medicine), 2002
Keywords: risk, Russian state medico-dosimetric registry
Abstract: Provision of possible occurrence of oncologic diseases are made, on the basis of analysis of exposure doses. Moreover, on the basis of data of Russia’s state medico-dosimetric registry, evaluations are given on solid cancers (first of all, thyroid cancer) and leukemia. The work is meant for the experts of radiation.
URL:http://medprom.ru/medprom/colibri_book_126538
